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Lease Renewal vs Turnover Calculator

Compare renewal economics against turnover economics with vacancy and leasing friction built in.

Quick answer: this tool compares the same analysis window under two paths. Renewal includes your new rent and incentive cost; turnover includes vacancy drag plus turnover and leasing costs. The net difference shows which path currently has the edge.

Lease decision assumptions

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Educational notice

This calculator is educational and not legal or financial advice. Confirm local market demand, leasing lead times, and lease-law requirements before finalizing strategy.

Formulas used

  • Renewal Monthly Rent = Current Rent × (1 + Renewal Increase %)
  • Renewal Total Income = Renewal Monthly Rent × Analysis Months - Renewal Incentive
  • Turnover Total Income = Market Rent × (Analysis Months - Vacancy Months) - Turnover Costs - Leasing Costs
  • Net Advantage of Renewal = Renewal Total Income - Turnover Total Income
  • Break-Even Market Rent = (Renewal Total Income + Turnover Costs + Leasing Costs) ÷ Occupied Months

Close-call recommendation is used when net difference is inside a small threshold and operational risk may matter more than pure math.

Net Advantage of Renewal

$4,806

Recommendation: renew

Renewal currently has the stronger expected net result.

Close-call threshold: approximately $250.

Renewal monthly rent

$2,288

Renewal total income

$26,956

Turnover total income

$22,150

Break-even market rent

$2,887

AI Renewal vs Turnover Insights

Scenario summary

Renewal increase4.00%
Turnover occupied months11.0
Total turnover friction costs$4,800
Tenant quality contextNot specified

FAQ: lease renewal vs turnover calculator

When does renewal usually beat turnover financially?

Renewal often wins when vacancy, make-ready, and leasing costs are high relative to the rent premium from turning over to market rent.

What is break-even market rent?

Break-even market rent is the monthly market rent needed for the turnover path to match the renewal path after vacancy and turnover costs.

Why include an analysis period in months?

A defined analysis period keeps both scenarios comparable over the same window so the recommendation reflects your near-term decision horizon.

Is this tool legal or financial advice?

No. This calculator is educational only and does not replace legal, leasing, or market-specific professional advice.

Ready to fine-tune your lease strategy?

Pair renewal modeling with vacancy and cash-flow tools to pressure test your retention strategy before sending terms.